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The problem has been around for a long time
“At present, the graphite market is in a downturn. More than 90% of enterprises have stopped production. While both graphite production and prices have fallen, exports have also declined,†said Liu Ronghua, a graphite industry and investment researcher. In early December, he participated in the first "China Graphite Industry Development Seminar and the 2012 Graphite Special Committee Annual Meeting" held in Beijing.
According to the data provided by the graphite special committee of China Non-Metallic Mining Industry Association, as of the end of October 2012, the national natural flake graphite production was more than 400,000 tons, which was more than 50% lower than the 930,000 tons in the same period of last year; It was down more than 60% year-on-year; natural flake graphite exports were 88,000 tons, down 30% year-on-year.
Previously, there were also graphite production companies that reflected that the production of the company was difficult, the market price dropped and then decreased, and the customer demand was reduced and reduced. The company could only produce according to the customer's demand.
“Now, the graphite market is declining, the company's inventory is increasing, the efficiency is declining, and the market is chaotic,†said Han Yufeng, president of the Heilongjiang Graphite Industry Association.
In this regard, some industry media wrote that the decline in the price of graphite products is mainly affected by the economic situation at home and abroad. On the one hand, some countries have newly added graphite enterprises, increasing the output of graphite and export volume, thus competing for the production and export of graphite in China. On the other hand, the slowdown in the domestic economy has led to a slow development of the steel and automobile industries, which has reduced the demand for graphite.
Although the downturn in the graphite market is highly correlated with the tough domestic and international economic situation, most people in the industry are more inclined to “introspect†the industry itself.
In Liu Ronghua's view, the biggest problem in the graphite market is the oversupply under overcapacity. This excess is more prominent in the case of sluggish demand.
“The graphite industry also has internal concerns that the total output is too large and the production and sales are not balanced.†The above-mentioned industry media also said.
The overcapacity in the graphite industry has been around for a long time. In recent years, the graphite industry has experienced a gorgeous turn from "unknown" to "hot". However, behind the turn, graphite “mining heat†is accompanied by a series of diseases such as capacity expansion, disorderly mining, vicious competition, waste of resources, and environmental damage.
It is understood that in recent years, as long as there is graphite, all enterprises have been mining and digging ink, which not only formed a situation of indiscriminate mining, but also some companies also sold at very low prices, thus disrupting the normality of the graphite market. Order, so that graphite companies compete to stage a "price war."
“The company has many difficulties in operation. Not only is the operation of deep processing projects difficult, but the company is also affected by the price. It is difficult to guarantee profits and benefits. If there is an industry standard, the resources of the deep processing projects already allocated can be properly configured to ensure the normal operation of the enterprise. Production and rapid development, the company's graphite industry chain can form a scale," said a person in charge of a large graphite production company.
“Admission†formed a favorable end. At the end of November, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the “Graphic Industry Access Conditions†that the industry has been waiting for for a long time, and put forward requirements in terms of production scale, layout, energy consumption, water consumption, product quality and environmental protection. .
At the same time, the "Grade Industry Access Conditions" proposed during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, based on domestic demand, strictly controlling the increment, focusing on optimizing the stock, vigorously adjusting the structure, promoting mergers and acquisitions, and improving industrial concentration; new construction and expansion and expansion of mineral processing projects (Except for the tailings comprehensive utilization project), we must adhere to the principle of equal or reduced replacement, and link with the elimination of backward production capacity; encourage the construction of graphite industry clusters in resource-rich areas and industrially advantageous areas, and accelerate the development of graphite processing products.
It is understood that China is a veritable country with large graphite resources and a large producing country. Both mineral resources and ore resources rank first in the world.
According to the US Geological Survey (USGS), the global proven reserves of graphite resources are about 84 million tons, of which China's proven reserves are 64 million tons, accounting for 74% of the world's total reserves.
In 2010, the global total graphite production was about 925,000 tons, of which China's output was 600,000 tons, accounting for 64.9% of the global total.
In recent years, with the rise of new energy and new materials industries, graphite products, especially downstream deep-processed products, have attracted more and more attention, and are gradually becoming an irreplaceable important material in the fields of national defense, aerospace and new materials.
To this end, the United States, the European Union, etc. have long listed graphite as an important strategic resource and controlled mining.
The “Grade Industry Access Conditions†issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China has also formed various positive effects on the future development of the graphite market and the entire graphite industry.
“Graphic Industry Access Conditions†put forward new requirements for the technical level, reserves scale and environmental protection capacity of graphite mining enterprises. Some graphite mining enterprises with backward technology, unsatisfactory assessment and high pollution, high energy consumption and low cost mining will After being eliminated, the backward production capacity will eventually withdraw. Undoubtedly, this is conducive to the standardization and stability of the graphite market, and is conducive to the entire industry to the track of sound development and orderly competition." Liu Ronghua said.
In this regard, the introduction of documents has filled the policy gap, which is conducive to the elimination of backward production capacity and industrial upgrading, and leading enterprises will get rid of price competition and free up more energy to extend the industry chain and product refinement, and benefit from it.
The outlook is still broad
“At present, the off-season of the graphite industry has arrived. In general, graphite companies will resume production in January. However, if the time for enterprises to resume production next year is pushed back two months, the domestic and international economic situation will improve, then graphite prices It will slowly recover. If the graphite enterprises have too much backlog, they will also compete in the same way as in the past, which will cause the graphite market to continue to decline." The former Secretary General of the China Graphite Industry Association, Zhi Zhixiang, said.
With the implementation of the “Graphic Industry Access Conditionsâ€, the situation of high enterprise inventory and disorderly competition in the market will eventually improve. At the same time, the huge potential of graphite market development and product upgrades also provides unlimited development space for this industry.
This also makes the industry still optimistic about the future prospects of the graphite market in the current downturn in the graphite market, fierce competition, and severe price declines.
“The future prospect of the graphite industry is very broad. On the basis of the stable application of graphite consumption in the traditional application field, the emerging field has gradually become the growth point of the future market of graphite products. At present, the refractory industry is still an important field of graphite consumption, accounting for about The total demand for graphite is 45%. In addition, the demand structure of graphite products will continue to upgrade, and processed products such as spherical graphite, flexible graphite, graphite electrode and nuclear graphite will become new market directions. In the future, the demand for graphite products will continue to be more specialized. Meeting the demand for high-performance, specialized graphite materials in the downstream sector will become the mainstream of development, and the trend from graphite raw materials to deep processing and its products will gradually become more prominent." Liu Ronghua said.
According to reports, as a star material for environmental protection and energy conservation, graphite materials are increasingly favored. This material has unlimited space for development in wind, automotive, consumer goods and defense industries. In particular, large-scale high-quality special graphite, as an alternative material, has broad application space and wide application prospects in high-tech and new technology fields.
According to the country's development goal of 10% of all traffic vehicles in 2020, it is estimated that by 2020, China's power battery market will reach 200 billion yuan. This also provides a broad market space for the development of the graphite industry.
The huge potential of the graphite industry itself has not been fully exploited. In this regard, Liu Ronghua said: "Now, the value of graphite deep processing has not been tapped. Although many enterprises plan some deep processing products, such as high-purity graphite, high thermal conductivity graphite, lithium battery anode materials, etc., but the real investment in the construction of the factory There are not many companies, most of which are thunder and rain."
For graphite enterprises, it is the favorable time to practice internal strength: First, optimize and adjust product structure, extend industrial chain, and shift from rough processing to intensive processing; second, improve independent innovation and technological transformation capability, and enhance core competitiveness.
In the context of implementing industry access and protecting mining, this will not only help to enhance the competitiveness of the enterprise market, but also facilitate the elimination of backward production capacity and products through market mechanisms, thereby standardizing and stabilizing the entire graphite market and promoting the healthy and sustainable graphite industry. development of.
According to industry insiders, the graphite market will soon be out of the doldrums under the combined effects of various factors.
China's graphite market is not far from the downturn
Abstract As an important strategic resource, graphite resources are receiving more and more attention. From the active appeal of industry associations to the release of the “Graphite Industry Access Conditions†at the national level not long ago, the graphite industry has ushered in new opportunities for its normative development and sustainable development. And this opportunity, right...
As an important strategic resource, graphite resources are receiving more and more attention. From the active appeal of industry associations to the release of the “Graphite Industry Access Conditions†at the national level not long ago, the graphite industry has ushered in new opportunities for its normative development and sustainable development. This kind of opportunity is worthy of a "timely rain" for the graphite market and the entire industry that are currently in a downturn.