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Construction machinery: The sales situation of construction machinery in the first quarter of this year was excellent. From January to February, the sales of some representative products such as loaders, excavators and forklifts increased by 36.1%, 55.5% and 62.0% respectively. Most of the companies performed well in the first quarter.
At present, the market's concern for the construction machinery industry is mainly the sustainability of demand. Based on the following two points, we believe that the demand for construction machinery will continue to grow rapidly. First, the investment demand for urbanization in the central and western regions is huge. In 2009, a large part of the increase in domestic urban fixed asset investment and real estate investment came from the central and western regions. As there is still much room for improvement in the urbanization rate in the central and western regions, fixed asset investment will continue to grow at an appropriate rate in the process of accelerating urbanization. Second, in recent years, the apparent consumption of construction machinery and fixed assets investment have maintained a relatively stable proportional relationship, and there has not been any overheating situation in 2002 and 2003. Therefore, we believe that the domestic demand for construction machinery will continue to grow with the growth of fixed asset investment, driven by the increase in urbanization rate.
Railway equipment: Railway investment is one of the fastest growing areas in 2009, driven by high-speed rail construction. In the first two months of this year, the railway transportation completed an investment of 41.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%. China's high-speed rail has good profit prospects, and the Ministry of Railways has sufficient capacity to maintain railway construction investment plans. After 2012, there is still a large demand for motor trains.
Heavy machinery and machine tools: Due to the slowdown in capacity expansion of steel and other manufacturing industries, the demand for industrial investment in metallurgy and machine tools has recovered slowly. From January to February 2010, the amount of investment completed by the manufacturing industry increased by 23.6% year-on-year, lower than the level of 26.8% last year. From January to February this year, the output of metal smelting equipment and rolling equipment increased by 5.48% and 28.6% respectively. What is learned from some enterprises is that the current machine tool orders are still in a state of tepid.
Investment opportunities in the heavy machinery and machine tool industries are mainly due to product structure upgrades brought about by industrial upgrading. For example, China's heavy and double heavy equipment has evolved from traditional metallurgical equipment to clean energy equipment such as nuclear power. Taiyuan Heavy Industry announced in early April that it plans to raise funds of about 1.7 billion yuan to build a production base for high-speed rail wheels. These needs are relatively clear, and the prospects for new projects that are in line with industrial upgrading and structural adjustment are better.
Machinery industry investment drives market demand growth
In the first quarter of 2010, the machinery industry (the machinery industry referred to here, including general equipment manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing and transportation equipment manufacturing) continued its upward trend since the second quarter of last year, but the situation of each sub-sector differed greatly. Policy measures for the adjustment and revitalization of the equipment manufacturing industry have been introduced one after another, and the country has taken a large number of targeted and positive measures, and construction machinery and railway equipment have benefited significantly; heavy machinery and machine tools have relatively low recovery due to relatively low investment.