Macroeconomic data such as CPI (Consumer Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Industrial Product Price Index) in May this year will be announced on the 10th. At present, the common view of most institutions is that although the price index "double negative" hat is difficult to collapse in May, inflation expectations will rise again in the second half of the year.
The latest article published by the China Information Daily under the National Bureau of Statistics, entitled "The Economic Review of the First Quarter of 2009: The Regulation of Price and Regulation Should Address Both the Legislation and the Rule of Law" will give the future domestic price trend "fixed": with the growth and expansion The effect of domestic demand policy has gradually emerged. China’s economy has shown signs of stabilization and recovery, deflationary pressures have eased, and the momentum for price recovery is gradually increasing.
The price recovery is increasing. In February of this year, the CPI experienced a single month of negative value for the first time in six years. Then the debate about whether the domestic economy has entered deflation has been ongoing. Some people believe that due to the rapid growth of credit scale, China's circulation in the field of funds is relatively abundant, so there is no possibility of deflation. According to an article published in the China Information Daily, "from the recent domestic and international environment, the deflationary pressure is gradually easing. The data of the first four months shows that China's economy has shown signs of stabilization and recovery. From January to April, the scale of credit And the growth rate of fixed asset investment has hit a new high in recent years, which will increase inflationary pressure to a certain extent."
"From the international perspective, the world has shown signs of positive change. Many countries in the world have opened the printing machine for the 'saving the city' and put interest rates down to zero. These measures will ease the pressure of deflation. Although the deflationary pressure in China is still greater than inflation in the short term. However, the driving force for price recovery is gradually increasing."
Promoting resource price reform in a timely manner The above article also proposes policy recommendations on how to regulate prices in the next stage: we should seize the leading position of food prices, and focus on macro-control to strengthen the investment and production of "rice bags" and "vegetable baskets". Supply and market stability, "only the 'meter bag' and 'vegetable basket' are stable, and the price can be stable."
The article suggests that the current domestic and international prices are relatively low, which provides a rare opportunity for China to promote the price reform of resource products. "Only by rationalizing the price system and regulating prices, we can maintain the relative stability of the overall price level." The article believes that China's resource product price reform is relatively lagging, and resource product prices cannot truly reflect the supply and demand relationship and scarcity of resource markets. In the end, it will lead to mistakes in corporate decision-making and weak government regulation.
Stabilizing housing prices is a top priority. "The fear of future domestic inflation is rising again. Therefore, we should prepare for countermeasures as soon as possible." Tang Jianwei, senior macro analyst at the Bank of Communications Research Department, believes that the central bank should not raise interest rates in the context of recent liquidity. The adjustment is too low, so as not to raise the pace of interest rate hikes in the future.
"Effective implementation of real estate control policies and stable housing prices" has also been widely concerned. Experts from the Development Research Center of the State Council believe that real estate prices have risen too fast in the past few years, exceeding the affordability of urban residents, and adjustment is inevitable. The regulation of real estate should be guided by improving the supply structure and ensuring the demand for self-occupation, and promoting the rational return of housing prices.

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