The machine tool market is picking up more than expected. The future trend is difficult to measure?

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The extent to which the machine tool market is picking up in the first quarter of 2010 with a small “blowout” does not seem to be excessive.

Welcome a small "blowout"

At CCMT2010, the most profound feeling is that the market is picking up, which is almost the common reaction of all exhibitors. For example, Shenyang Machine Tool Group, the leader of China's machine tool industry, not only sold hundreds of millions of general-purpose machine tools in stock last year, but also received new orders. There are also many foreign-related companies who also said that their sales in the Chinese market have rebounded very rapidly, and the Chinese market has become more and more important in the entire group's business strategy.

The annual report of listed companies also proves the prosperity of the market. Huadong CNC's 2010 first quarter results report released on April 12 showed that in the first quarter, Huadong CNC achieved revenue of 100.273 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.30%. Among them, the sales revenue of CNC machine tools reached 76.829 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.47%; the sales of ordinary machine tool products reached 1968.36 million yuan, an increase of 19.17%. Huadong CNC expects net profit in the first half of this year to increase by 10% to 30%.

In fact, large, heavy and high-end CNC machine tools did not suffer much from the financial crisis. The most affected ones were general-purpose machine tools, and this rebound was the strongest of general-purpose machine tools.

In addition to large-scale enterprises such as Shenyang Machine Tool and Foreign Enterprise Multinational Group, the situation of small and medium-sized machine tool enterprises is also very optimistic. The reporter learned at the second machine tool booth in Beijing that North Second is expected to have a 40% growth this year. At the Ningjiang Machine Tool Booth, the relevant sales person also said that the market recovery was much better than expected.

Import data also shows this trend. According to the latest statistics from the customs, from January to March 2010, China imported a total of 21,044 metal processing machine tools, an increase of 12.6% over the 18,690 units in the same period of 2009; the cumulative import value was approximately 1.742 billion US dollars, compared with 1.006 billion US dollars in the same period of 2009. Increased by 15.7%. In March alone, China imported more than 10,000 metal processing machine tools, a substantial increase of 148% from the previous month and an increase of 41% year-on-year; the import value was approximately 715 million US dollars, an increase of 49.46% from the previous month and an increase of 26.75%.

It can be said that compared with the financial crisis period, the current market is already full of ice and fire. At the moment, many companies are facing insufficient capacity and orders are overwhelming. Some corporate executives said that during the financial crisis, companies have done a lot of adjustment work, reducing the production of low-end, ordinary products, so the rapid rebound of the general machine tool market has made many companies caught off guard.

For example, a domestic CNC system manufacturing company has laid off 300 people last year due to conservative expectations of the situation. However, in the first quarter, the production task was aggravated and more than 300 people had to be recruited again.

For the prosperity of the market, people in the industry have expressed that they are beyond imagination. Analyze the reasons and summarize the three points. First, the automobile market is strongly driven. In 2009, the state introduced a series of plans for the revitalization of the automobile industry, especially the incentives for halving the purchase tax and car to the countryside. Annual sales increased by 53%, and the performance of commercial vehicles also significantly exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 28.4% in 2009. The automotive industry is the largest user group in the machine tool industry, and it is conceivable for the market. Second, the government's 4 trillion investment stimulus, the policy's pulling effect is also very significant; Third, during the financial crisis, many demand is suppressed, most companies have chosen to tighten the money bag to live the way to resist the crisis, This suppressed demand is now suddenly released, and it is also a reason for the industry to usher in a small "blowout".

The localization rate of the machine tool industry has increased to 70%

For the market demand driven by these reasons, more industry insiders are not clear about the growth of the market prospects. Shi Guang, general manager of Shanghai Machine Tool Works Co., Ltd., said in an interview: "When the market is good, companies must seize the market, otherwise they will lose the opportunity. But after all, there are lessons, just to see the current interests are not desirable." Most industries People also said that "although the general machine tool rebounded strongly, in terms of business strategy, it will not rush to expand production scale. The strategic route for enterprises to independently innovate and vigorously develop high-end products will not change."

In fact, after the crisis, it should be the survival of the fittest and the upgrading of the entire industry. However, the rapid recovery of the market has not completed the process of survival of the fittest, and a group of enterprises and products that may be eliminated have a market. Despite this, the ultra-expected recovery in the general machine tool market cannot reverse the direction of China's machine tool market to accelerate product mix and accelerate industrial upgrading.

Wu Bolin, executive vice president of China Machine Tool Industry Association, revealed on the opening day of CCMT2010 that with the enhancement of product and industrial structure adjustment of China's machine tool industry, the proportion of CNC machine tools and high-end machine tools has increased significantly, and the proportion of low-end products has continued to decrease. At present, the localization rate of the machine tool industry has increased to 70%.

It can be seen that in 2009, the independent innovation achievements of the machine tool industry were remarkable, which was mainly reflected in the acceleration of the industrialization process of independent innovation achievements, and the new product development received unprecedented attention. A number of high-speed, precision, composite, multi-axis CNC machine tools, as well as a number of large-scale, large-tonnage CNC machine tools to enter the market. These independent innovation achievements are evident in the CCMT2010 exhibition, especially the first first set of products has attracted wide attention.

For example, the AH110 automatic milling and boring machine exhibited by Shenyang Machine Tool Group is the first machine tool category developed by the Chinese themselves in the history of machine tools in the world. Its success has marked the entry of the boring machine into a new era of automation. According to reports, the AH110 automatic milling and boring machine breaks the habit of manual repetitive operation. The machine can realize drilling, floating tapping, milling and other cycle processing through simple one-button operation, greatly reducing labor intensity. Improve the accuracy of the product. Automatic positioning, automatic diagnosis, automatic alarm and other unique advantages are simple and practical, which can greatly reduce the labor cost. As a high-performance machine tool, the milling and boring machine can be widely used in energy, transportation, heavy-duty, petrochemical machinery and other key areas.

Some major special products were also successfully unveiled at CCMT2010. For example, the Beijing Institute of Electrical and Mechanical Engineering exhibited the N850 five-axis five-link precision CNC EDM machine for the key parts processing of aero-engines. It is a major special project of five-axis linkage precision digital electric spark forming for special surface processing of special materials. machine tool". Its largest processing workpiece can reach 3000kg, the largest electrode is 150kg, which is the first in China. The working table is 1150 mm×600 mm, the positioning accuracy of X, Y and Z axes is 0.015 mm, the repeating positioning accuracy is 0.008 mm, and the optimum surface roughness Ra is 0.1 μm.

In fact, in addition to the traditional market upgrade, many emerging markets are unstoppable. Without a large number of independent innovation products, the machine tool industry is difficult to cope with changes in the user market. Therefore, machine tool enterprises must do a good job of continuous independent innovation. ready.

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